The Record
Every lock. Every score. Every country.
Each forecast is committed to a public criterion before the outcome is known and scored against that exact criterion afterwards. Misses are published in full. Pick a country on the Atlas, a month, a status, or search the calls.
Showing 4 of 345 ·Japan ×December 2026 ×Clear all
December 20264 locks resolving
| Ref | The locked call | Resolves | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| P-203 | Nikkei 225 year-end 2026Nikkei 225 closes 2026 inside 50,000-82,000 (band; direction not predicted) — ~0.92Japan | 30 Dec 2026locked 25 Aug 2026 | Locked |
| P-53 | Metaplanet 100k-BTC targetMetaplanet holds < 100,000 BTC at year-end — calibrated ~0.88Japan | 31 Dec 2026locked 21 Jun 2026 | Locked |
| P-151 | USD/JPY year-end 2026USD/JPY closes 2026 inside 140–180 (band, direction not predicted) — ~0.92Japan | 31 Dec 2026locked 13 Aug 2026 | Locked |
| P-193 | Japan 10-year JGB year-end 2026Japan 10-year JGB yield closes 2026 ≤4.00% (vs 2.86% in mid-Aug; locked against the uptrend) — ~0.91Japan | 31 Dec 2026locked 13 Aug 2026 | Locked |