The Record
Every lock. Every score. Every country.
Each forecast is committed to a public criterion before the outcome is known and scored against that exact criterion afterwards. Misses are published in full. Pick a country on the Atlas, a month, a status, or search the calls.
Showing 2 of 345 ·Not yet tagged ×August 2026 ×Clear all
August 20262 locks resolved
| Ref | The locked call | Resolves | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| P-55 | Mario Kart World unitsMK World lifetime units > 15M at Nintendo Q1 FY27HIT - Mario Kart World lifetime units 15.39M at Q1 FY27, >15M.not yet tagged | 6 Aug 2026locked 21 Jun 2026 | Hit |
| P-37 | EU AI Act Aug 2 appliesGPAI enforcement + Art 50(1) applicable on schedule (50(2) watermarking excluded)HIT - the EU AI Act's GPAI enforcement powers took effect on schedule on Aug 2, 2026 (Art 50(2) watermarking was excluded from the lock).not yet tagged | 2 Aug 2026locked 21 Jun 2026 | Hit |