The Record
Every lock. Every score. Every country.
Each forecast is committed to a public criterion before the outcome is known and scored against that exact criterion afterwards. Misses are published in full. Pick a country on the Atlas, a month, a status, or search the calls.
Showing 8 of 345 ·United States ×Next 90 days ×September 2026 ×Clear all
September 20268 locks resolved
| Ref | The locked call | Resolves | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| P-167 | Medtronic FY2027 guidance floorMedtronic keeps FY2027 adjusted EPS floor ≥$5.90 at Q1 — ~0.88HIT — at Q1 FY27 on 1 Sep 2026 Medtronic RAISED the FY2027 non-GAAP diluted EPS range to $5.94-$6.00 from $5.90-$6.00. The floor did not merely hold, it moved up 4 cents. Q1 revenue $9.8bn, +13.7% reported and organic, ~200bp above the guidance midpoint; organic revenue growth guidance also raised to 7.25-7.75%. Scored against the FY2027 adjusted (non-GAAP) EPS floor as the criterion specified, not the Q1 EPS of $1.45.United States | 1 Sep 2026locked 13 Aug 2026 | Hit |
| P-103 | Fed September 2026 decisionFed holds funds rate at 3.50–3.75% at Sept 2026 FOMC — ~0.82United States | 17 Sep 2026locked 25 Jun 2026 | Locked |
| P-143 | General Mills Q1 FY27 guidance floorGeneral Mills keeps FY27 adj-EPS guidance floor ≥ $3.00 at Q1 — ~0.82United States | 17 Sep 2026locked 13 Aug 2026 | Locked |
| P-58 | Meta Connect smart-glassesNew smart-glasses model/HW at Connect 2026 keynoteUnited States | 23 Sep 2026locked 21 Jun 2026 | Locked |
| P-100 | LA Dodgers 2026 playoff berthLA Dodgers clinch a 2026 MLB postseason berth — ~0.93United States | 28 Sep 2026locked 25 Jun 2026 | Locked |
| P-16 | Spot-Bitcoin-ETF flowsCumulative net inflow ≥ $45B at Q3 closeUnited States | 30 Sep 2026locked 20 Jun 2026 | Locked |
| P-88 | Apple Sept-2026 event / iPhone 18 ProApple holds Sept-2026 keynote + iPhone 18 Pro on sale in September — ~0.95United States | 30 Sep 2026locked 24 Jun 2026 | Locked |
| P-108 | US 10-year yield end-Sept 2026US 10y Treasury yield closes Sept 2026 inside 3.75–5.25% — ~0.90United States | 30 Sep 2026locked 25 Jun 2026 | Locked |