The Record
Every lock. Every score. Every country.
Each forecast is committed to a public criterion before the outcome is known and scored against that exact criterion afterwards. Misses are published in full. Pick a country on the Atlas, a month, a status, or search the calls.
Showing 3 of 345 ·Taiwan ×Next 90 days ×Clear all
July 20261 lock resolved
| Ref | The locked call | Resolves | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| P-08 | TSMC Q2 revenue≥ NT$1.23T (Apr+May already public = 827.7B)HIT - TSMC Q2 revenue NT$1,270.38bn (~NT$1.27T), >=NT$1.23T.Taiwan | 16 Jul 2026locked 20 Jun 2026 | Hit |
October 20261 lock resolving
| Ref | The locked call | Resolves | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| P-240 | TSMC Q3 2026 revenueTSMC Q3 2026 consolidated REVENUE >= USD 43.0bn (guidance USD 44.6-45.8bn; correlated pair with P-235, disclosed) — ~0.93NetherlandsTaiwan | 15 Oct 2026locked 29 Aug 2026 | Locked |
November 20261 lock resolving
| Ref | The locked call | Resolves | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| P-211 | Hon Hai Q3 2026 revenueHon Hai Q3 2026 consolidated revenue ≥NT$2.4tn (floor BELOW Q2, in a quarter guided to grow) — ~0.94Taiwan | 12 Nov 2026locked 26 Aug 2026 | Locked |