The Record
Every lock. Every score. Every country.
Each forecast is committed to a public criterion before the outcome is known and scored against that exact criterion afterwards. Misses are published in full. Pick a country on the Atlas, a month, a status, or search the calls.
Showing 4 of 345 ·United Kingdom ×Next 90 days ×July 2026 ×Clear all
July 20264 locks resolved
| Ref | The locked call | Resolves | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| P-19 | The Open 2026 (golf field simulation)Scheffler 15.8% win / 60% top-5 — 100k-tournament Monte-Carlo (field 43.3%)HIT (calibrated) - Scheffler finished T4, meeting the 60% top-5 and 86% top-10 calls; and the brief's explicit signal that the field (43.3%) was the likeliest winner held as longshot Ryan Fox won. The locked win prob was only 15.8%.United Kingdom | 19 Jul 2026locked 21 Jun 2026 | Hit |
| P-14 | Wimbledon men's singlesChampion is NOT Alcaraz (withdrew, not in draw)HIT - the champion was NOT Alcaraz: Jannik Sinner beat Alexander Zverev to retain the title.United Kingdom | 12 Jul 2026locked 20 Jun 2026 | Hit |
| P-18 | Wimbledon 2026 men's (draw simulation)Sinner ~51% title (sim 41% / market 58%) — 50k-draw Monte-CarloHIT - the sim's favourite Sinner (locked ~51%) won the title, defending his crown.United Kingdom | 12 Jul 2026locked 21 Jun 2026 | Hit |
| P-13 | F1 — Antonelli's title leadStill standings leader after the British GPHIT - Antonelli remained championship leader after the British GP (Leclerc won; Antonelli P16/no points after a wheel-shield failure); lead trimmed to 25 pts over Russell. Criterion = still leader, TRUE.United Kingdom | 5 Jul 2026locked 20 Jun 2026 | Hit |