The Record
Every lock. Every score. Every country.
Each forecast is committed to a public criterion before the outcome is known and scored against that exact criterion afterwards. Misses are published in full. Pick a country on the Atlas, a month, a status, or search the calls.
Showing 2 of 345 ·Awaiting resolution ×United Kingdom ×Next 30 days ×Clear all
September 20261 lock resolving
| Ref | The locked call | Resolves | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| P-119 | Bank of England September 2026 decisionBoE does not cut (Bank Rate ≥3.75%) at Sept meeting — ~0.93United Kingdom | 18 Sep 2026locked 25 Jun 2026 | Locked |
October 20261 lock resolving
| Ref | The locked call | Resolves | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| P-189 | Tesco H1 2026/27 group salesTesco H1 2026/27 group sales ≥£32.5bn (£16.83bn booked in Q1) — ~0.93United Kingdom | 8 Oct 2026locked 13 Aug 2026 | Locked |