The Record
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Each forecast is committed to a public criterion before the outcome is known and scored against that exact criterion afterwards. Misses are published in full. Pick a country on the Atlas, a month, a status, or search the calls.
Showing 2 of 345 ·Awaiting resolution ×Germany ×December 2026 ×Clear all
December 20262 locks resolving
| Ref | The locked call | Resolves | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| P-204 | DAX year-end 2026DAX closes 2026 inside 21,000-32,000 (band; correlated with P-198, disclosed) — ~0.92Germany | 30 Dec 2026locked 25 Aug 2026 | Locked |
| P-198 | German 10-year Bund year-end 2026German 10-year Bund yield closes 2026 ≤4.50% (vs 3.27%, a 15-year high; locked against trend) — ~0.91Germany | 31 Dec 2026locked 21 Aug 2026 | Locked |